Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035506 0.041093 0.047285 0.054658 0.063202 0.072797 0.084400
2026-01-18 0.027192 0.034638 0.043716 0.055612 0.070812 0.089616 0.114702
2026-01-25 0.022470 0.030795 0.041715 0.057115 0.078326 0.106598 0.147291
2026-02-01 0.018260 0.026561 0.038116 0.055417 0.080757 0.116663 0.171675
2026-02-08 0.015570 0.023840 0.035955 0.055059 0.084567 0.128649 0.199956
2026-02-15 0.013462 0.021570 0.034001 0.054527 0.087766 0.139823 0.228212
2026-02-22 0.012092 0.020193 0.033139 0.055433 0.093132 0.154777 0.264210
2026-03-01 0.010742 0.018632 0.031730 0.055175 0.096428 0.166627 0.296465
2026-03-08 0.009408 0.016903 0.029789 0.053697 0.097348 0.174427 0.322546
2026-03-15 0.008265 0.015345 0.027928 0.052072 0.097711 0.181153 0.347382
2026-03-22 0.007638 0.014636 0.027472 0.052910 0.102629 0.196626 0.390492
2026-03-29 0.007018 0.013856 0.026781 0.053191 0.106475 0.210469 0.432163
2026-04-05 0.006432 0.013081 0.026027 0.053299 0.110082 0.224470 0.476480
2026-04-12 0.005982 0.012523 0.025631 0.054077 0.115154 0.242057 0.530785
2026-04-19 0.005644 0.012150 0.025558 0.055506 0.121752 0.263590 0.596553
2026-04-26 0.005060 0.011180 0.024131 0.053850 0.121460 0.270368 0.630390
2026-05-03 0.004654 0.010549 0.023347 0.053501 0.124008 0.283646 0.680919
2026-05-10 0.004278 0.009939 0.022537 0.052985 0.126089 0.296093 0.731160
2026-05-17 0.004042 0.009621 0.022341 0.053865 0.131549 0.317016 0.804916
2026-05-24 0.003751 0.009137 0.021706 0.053614 0.134238 0.331654 0.864944
2026-05-31 0.003413 0.008500 0.020640 0.052178 0.133805 0.338586 0.906059
2026-06-07 0.003101 0.007890 0.019570 0.050600 0.132806 0.343969 0.943824
2026-06-14 0.002951 0.007672 0.019439 0.051414 0.138140 0.366279 1.030791